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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

AD Ceuta vs Malaga

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–1Prognoza 2–2
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy33%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości42%
Market-based forecastWygrana gościTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMalaga
Expected goals3.25Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
33% / 26% / 42%Wynik meczuWygrana gości42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Podwójna szansa1274.5%1.34
Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%Goals 2.5Powyżej63%1.59
Tak 65% · Nie 35%Obie drużyny strzeląTak65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Remis26%3.853.5025.8%
Malaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%

Malaga1.67

Goście share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 65% · Nie 35%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punkty3

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/4

Goście-context · form sequence

Malaga

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punkty8

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalGoście unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta wygrana 33%,Remis 26%,Malaga wygrana 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Powyżej 2.5 63% · Current selection Powyżej