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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

AD Ceuta vs Malaga

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–1Pronostic 2–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur42%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMalaga
Expected goals3.25Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 26% / 42%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Nul26%3.853.5025.8%
Malaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Domicile share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

Malaga1.67

Extérieur share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Joués3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/4

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Malaga

2.00pts / match
Joués4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta victoire 33%,Nul 26%,Malaga victoire 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de