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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Castro Daire vs AD Ovarense

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst28%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Castro DaireAD Ovarense
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 27% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
AD Castro Daire win44%2.27
Gelijkspel27%3.70
AD Ovarense win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Castro Daire1.36

Thuis share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

AD Ovarense1.02

Uit share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Uit-context · form sequence

AD Ovarense

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD Castro DaireAD Ovarense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Castro Daire signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ovarense signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Castro Daire vs AD Ovarense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Castro Daire gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 27%,AD Ovarense gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder