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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Castro Daire vs AD Ovarense

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–2Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr44%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr28%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Castro DaireAD Ovarense
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
44% / 27% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dobbeltchance1272.7%1.38
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Begge hold scorerNej52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AD Castro Daire win44%2.27
Uafgjort27%3.70
AD Ovarense win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Castro Daire1.36

Hjemme share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

AD Ovarense1.02

Ude share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Spillet0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Point0

SignalNej recent signal

Ude-context · form sequence

AD Ovarense

0.00pts / match
Spillet0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Point0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD Castro DaireAD Ovarense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Castro Daire signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ovarense signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Castro Daire vs AD Ovarense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Castro Daire vundet 44%,Uafgjort 27%,AD Ovarense vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under