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CHE Switzerland Super League · Final ·

FC Zurich vs Basel

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 1–2
Borte form
Hjemmeseier33%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier41%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier41% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC ZurichBasel
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
33% / 26% / 41%KampresultatBorteseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dobbel sjanse1274%1.35
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nei 45%Begge lag scorerJa55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapFC Zurich winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Zurich win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.6026%0.0 pp
Basel win41%2.442.3040.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Zurich1.16

Hjemme share of expected goals 42.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Basel1.59

Borte share of expected goals 57.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Zurich

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Basel

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalBorte won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.16
Expected goals
1.59
FC ZurichBasel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Zurich signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basel signalBorte won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Zurich vs Basel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Zurich vunnet 33%,Uavgjort 26%,Basel vunnet 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over