What is the FC Zurich vs Basel prediction?

The prediction is Away win, with a projected score of 1–2 and a selected-call probability of 41%.

What are the FC Zurich vs Basel 1X2 probabilities?

FC Zurich win 33%, draw 26%, and Basel win 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Zurich vs Basel?

The displayed projection is 2.75 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 52%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

CHE Switzerland Super League · Final · Sun, Aug 23, 02:30

FC Zurich vs Basel

Prediction review

Home form

Final score1–2Forecast 1–2

Away form

Home win33%

Draw26%

Away win41%

Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability

Prediction WonAug 23, 2026, 05:21

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability

Projected score1–2FC Zurich — Basel

Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side

Expected corners10.5Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

33% / 26% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35

Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92

Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82

2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——

10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapFC Zurich winDifference-0.4 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

FC Zurich win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp

Draw26%3.853.6026%0.0 pp

Basel win41%2.442.3040.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Zurich1.16

Home share of expected goals 42.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Basel1.59

Away share of expected goals 57.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Zurich

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Basel

1.80pts / match

Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

33%

Win probability excluding draw

41%

Points from supplied form

1.16

Expected goals

1.59

FC ZurichBasel

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Zurich signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basel signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions