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DEU Germany Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier25%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PauliGreuther Furth
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 24% / 25%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Dobbel sjanse1275.9%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 58% · Nei 42%Begge lag scorerJa58%1.72
2.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Pauli win51%1.961.8052%
Uavgjort24%4.173.9024%
Greuther Furth win25%4.003.9024%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Pauli1.72

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.1%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Greuther Furth1.19

Borte share of expected goals 40.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nei 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

St Pauli

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Greuther Furth

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.72
Expected goals
1.19
St PauliGreuther Furth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Pauli signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greuther Furth signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Pauli vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 24%,Greuther Furth vunnet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over