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DEU Alemania - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante24%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score2–1St. PauliGreuther Fürth
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 25% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Greuther Fürth win (24.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.9%1.32
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 58% · No 42%Ambos equipos marcan58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St. Pauli win51%1.961.8052%
Empate25%4.003.8024.6%
Greuther Fürth win24%4.174.0023.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St. Pauli1.71

Local share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

Greuther Fürth1.18

Visitante share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

St. Pauli

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Greuther Fürth

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.71
Expected goals
1.18
St. PauliGreuther Fürth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St. Pauli signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greuther Fürth signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St. Pauli ganada 51%,Empate 25%,Greuther Fürth ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de