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DEU Tyskland - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger51%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger25%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger51% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PauliGreuther Furth
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
51% / 24% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Dubbelchans1275.9%1.32
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Båda lagen gör målJa58%1.72
2.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Pauli win51%1.961.8052%
Oavgjort24%4.173.9024%
Greuther Furth win25%4.003.9024%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Pauli1.72

Hemma share of expected goals 59.1%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Greuther Furth1.19

Borta share of expected goals 40.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

St Pauli

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Greuther Furth

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.72
Expected goals
1.19
St PauliGreuther Furth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Pauli signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greuther Furth signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Pauli vunnen 51%,Oavgjort 24%,Greuther Furth vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över