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CHE Switzerland Super League · Kamp ·

Lugano vs FC Zurich

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier56%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier18%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier56% selection probability
Projected score2–1LuganoFC Zurich
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
56% / 27% / 18%KampresultatHjemmeseier56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zurich win (17.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X82.3%1.22
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 41% · Nei 59%Begge lag scorerNei59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Lugano win56%1.79
Uavgjort27%3.70
FC Zurich win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugano1.87

Hjemme share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

FC Zurich0.66

Borte share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nei 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lugano

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Zurich

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
18%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
LuganoFC Zurich
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugano signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zurich signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lugano vs FC Zurich FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugano vunnet 56%,Uavgjort 27%,FC Zurich vunnet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under