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CHE Switzerland Super League · Maç ·

Lugano vs FC Zurich

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır56%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır18%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score2–1LuganoFC Zurich
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
56% / 27% / 18%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zurich win (17.7%)Çifte Şans1X82.3%1.22
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 41% · Hayır 59%Karşılıklı gol varHayır59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Lugano win56%1.79
Beraberlik27%3.70
FC Zurich win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugano1.87

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

FC Zurich0.66

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 41% · Hayır 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Lugano

3.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puan15

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FC Zurich

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
18%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
LuganoFC Zurich
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugano signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zurich signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lugano vs FC Zurich FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugano kazanç 56%,Beraberlik 27%,FC Zurich kazanç 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt