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CHE Switzerland Super League · Мач ·

Лугано vs Цюрих

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен27%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛуганоЦюрих
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 27% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Цюрих win (17.7%)Двоен шанс1X82.3%1.22
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Лугано win56%1.79
Равен27%3.70
Цюрих win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лугано1.87

Домакин share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Цюрих0.66

Гост share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лугано

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Цюрих

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
ЛуганоЦюрих
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лугано signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Цюрих signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Лугано vs Цюрих FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лугано печеливш 56%,Равен 27%,Цюрих печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под