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CHE Switzerland Super League · Kamp ·

Lugano vs FC Zürich

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr56%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr18%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr56% selection probability
Projected score2–1LuganoFC Zürich
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
56% / 27% / 18%KampresultatHjemmesejr56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zürich win (17.7%)Dobbeltchance1X82.3%1.22
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Begge hold scorerNej59%1.69
2.52 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lugano win56%1.79
Uafgjort27%3.70
FC Zürich win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugano1.86

Hjemme share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

FC Zürich0.66

Ude share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lugano

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Zürich

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vundet probability excluding draw
18%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
0.66
LuganoFC Zürich
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugano signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zürich signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lugano vs FC Zürich FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugano vundet 56%,Uafgjort 27%,FC Zürich vundet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under