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EST Estonia Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier62%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier19%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
62% / 19% / 19%KampresultatHjemmeseier62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Dobbel sjanse1281%1.23
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Ja 70% · Nei 30%Begge lag scorerJa70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Uavgjort19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Borte share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 70% · Nei 30%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev vunnet 62%,Uavgjort 19%,FC Tallinn vunnet 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over