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EST Εσθονία - Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

Τάλινα Κάλεβ vs ΦΚ Ταλίν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου62%
Ισοπαλία19%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου19%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Τάλινα ΚάλεβΦΚ Ταλίν
Expected goals3.83Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω74% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
62% / 19% / 19%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1281%1.23
Άνω 74% · Κάτω 26%Goals 2.5Άνω74%1.35
Ναι 70% · Όχι 30%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapΤάλινα Κάλεβ winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Τάλινα Κάλεβ win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
ΦΚ Ταλίν win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τάλινα Κάλεβ2.39

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 74% · Κάτω 26%

ΦΚ Ταλίν1.44

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 70% · Όχι 30%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τάλινα Κάλεβ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

ΦΚ Ταλίν

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
Τάλινα ΚάλεβΦΚ Ταλίν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τάλινα Κάλεβ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ΦΚ Ταλίν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Τάλινα Κάλεβ vs ΦΚ Ταλίν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τάλινα Κάλεβ νίκη 62%,Ισοπαλία 19%,ΦΚ Ταλίν νίκη 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Άνω 2.5 74% · Current selection Άνω