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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg62%
Unentschieden19%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
62% / 19% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Doppelte Chance1281%1.23
Über 74% · Unter 26%Goals 2.5Über74%1.35
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Heim share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 74% · Unter 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev Gewinn 62%,Unentschieden 19%,FC Tallinn Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Über 2.5 74% · Current selection Über