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EST Estonia Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng62%
Hòa19%
Đội khách thắng19%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài74% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
62% / 19% / 19%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Cơ hội kép1281%1.23
Tài 74% · Xỉu 26%Goals 2.5Tài74%1.35
Có 70% · Không 30%Cả hai đội ghi bàn70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Hòa19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 74% · Xỉu 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Khách share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 70% · Không 30%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Thắng probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev thắng 62%,Hòa 19%,FC Tallinn thắng 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Tài 2.5 74% · Current selection Tài