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EST Εσθονία - Esiliiga · Αγώνας ·

Έλβα vs Tάρτου Βέλκο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου23%
Ισοπαλία21%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου56%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου56% selection probability
Projected score2–2ΈλβαTάρτου Βέλκο
Expected goals3.74Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω72% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
23% / 21% / 56%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1279.2%1.26
Άνω 72% · Κάτω 28%Goals 2.5Άνω72%1.39
Ναι 70% · Όχι 30%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70%1.43
3.74 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
10.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Έλβα win23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tάρτου Βέλκο win56%1.791.6056.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Έλβα1.52

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals3.74Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 72% · Κάτω 28%

Tάρτου Βέλκο2.22

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 70% · Όχι 30%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Έλβα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Tάρτου Βέλκο

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
56%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
2.22
ΈλβαTάρτου Βέλκο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Έλβα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tάρτου Βέλκο signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Έλβα vs Tάρτου Βέλκο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Έλβα νίκη 23%,Ισοπαλία 21%,Tάρτου Βέλκο νίκη 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Άνω 2.5 72% · Current selection Άνω