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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Kamp ·

Avondale (W) vs South Melbourne (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier54%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier22%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Avondale (W)South Melbourne (W)
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
54% / 24% / 22%KampresultatHjemmeseier54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes South Melbourne (W) win (21.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X78.1%1.28
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nei 45%Begge lag scorerJa55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAvondale (W) winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avondale (W) win54%1.851.6554.6%-0.6 pp
Uavgjort24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
South Melbourne (W) win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (W)1.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

South Melbourne (W)1.16

Borte share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Avondale (W)

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (W)

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
22%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.16
Avondale (W)South Melbourne (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (W) signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (W) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Avondale (W) vs South Melbourne (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (W) vunnet 54%,Uavgjort 24%,South Melbourne (W) vunnet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over