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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Zápas ·

Avondale (Ž) vs South Melbourne (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích54%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostů22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Avondale (Ž)South Melbourne (W)
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více52% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
54% / 24% / 22%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes South Melbourne (W) win (21.9%)Dvojitá šance1X78.1%1.28
Více 52% · Méně 48%Goals 2.5Více52%1.92
Ano 55% · Ne 45%Oba týmy skórujíAno55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAvondale (Ž) winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avondale (Ž) win54%1.851.6554.6%-0.6 pp
Remíza24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
South Melbourne (W) win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (Ž)1.58

Domácí share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 52% · Méně 48%

South Melbourne (W)1.16

Hosté share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 55% · Ne 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Avondale (Ž)

3.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (W)

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.16
Avondale (Ž)South Melbourne (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (Ž) signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (W) signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Avondale (Ž) vs South Melbourne (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (Ž) výhra 54%,Remíza 24%,South Melbourne (W) výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Více 2.5 52% · Current selection Více