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INT Australien - NPL Victoria - Frauen · Spiel ·

Avondale (F) vs South Melbourne (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Avondale (F)South Melbourne (F)
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 24% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes South Melbourne (F) win (21.1%)Doppelte Chance1X78.9%1.27
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAvondale (F) winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avondale (F) win55%1.821.6055.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
South Melbourne (F) win21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (F)1.58

Heim share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

South Melbourne (F)1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Avondale (F)

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (F)

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.16
Avondale (F)South Melbourne (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (F) signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (F) signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Avondale (F) vs South Melbourne (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (F) Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 24%,South Melbourne (F) Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über