Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDeportivo Riestra Reserves winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Riestra Reserves win40%2.502.3039%+1.0 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Defensa y Justicia Reserves win32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.5%
Total expected goals2.92Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 42.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchDeportivo Riestra Reserves
LWWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchDefensa y Justicia Reserves
DLDDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
32%7
Points from supplied form
31.68
Expected goals
1.24Deportivo Riestra ReservesDefensa y Justicia Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Deportivo Riestra Reserves vs Defensa y Justicia Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Deportivo Riestra Reserves win 40%，Draw 29%，Defensa y Justicia Reserves win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。