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INT Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · Fixture ·

Tigre Reserves vs Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw29%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tigre ReservesGimnasia Mendoza Reserves
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Double chance1270.5%1.42
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapTigre Reserves winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre Reserves win35%2.862.5535.4%-0.4 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves win35%2.862.5535.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre Reserves0.93

Home share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves0.91

Away share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tigre Reserves

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.93
Expected goals
0.91
Tigre ReservesGimnasia Mendoza Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre Reserves signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Tigre Reserves vs Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre Reserves win 35%,Draw 29%,Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under