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INT Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · Fixture ·

Colon Reserves vs Lanus Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw29%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–2Colon ReservesLanus Reserves
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 29% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Colon Reserves win (26%)Double chanceX274%1.35
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.47 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Colon Reserves win26%3.85
Draw29%3.45
Lanus Reserves win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colon Reserves0.94

Home share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Lanus Reserves1.53

Away share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Colon Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lanus Reserves

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.94
Expected goals
1.53
Colon ReservesLanus Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colon Reserves signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lanus Reserves signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colon Reserves vs Lanus Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colon Reserves win 26%,Draw 29%,Lanus Reserves win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under