Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapBelgrano Reserves winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Belgrano Reserves win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Newell's Reserves win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.6%
Total expected goals2.59Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 51.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchBelgrano Reserves
DWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNewell's Reserves
LWDDD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%8
Points from supplied form
61.26
Expected goals
1.33Belgrano ReservesNewell's Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Belgrano Reserves vs Newell's Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Belgrano Reserves win 39%，Draw 29%，Newell's Reserves win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。