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INT Argentinië - Liga Profesional - Reserves · Wedstrijd ·

Deportivo Riestra - Reserves vs Defensa y Justicia - Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo Riestra - ReservesDefensa y Justicia - Reserves
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 29% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dubbele Kans1271.4%1.40
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDeportivo Riestra - Reserves winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Riestra - Reserves win40%2.502.3039%+1.0 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Defensa y Justicia - Reserves win32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra - Reserves1.68

Thuis share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Defensa y Justicia - Reserves1.24

Uit share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra - Reserves

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Defensa y Justicia - Reserves

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.68
Expected goals
1.24
Deportivo Riestra - ReservesDefensa y Justicia - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra - Reserves signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensa y Justicia - Reserves signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra - Reserves vs Defensa y Justicia - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra - Reserves gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 29%,Defensa y Justicia - Reserves gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven