Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 26% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapFC Thun winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Thun win36%2.782.7034.8%+1.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Servette win38%2.632.4039.1%-1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.1%
Total expected goals3.70Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%
Away share of expected goals 41.9%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchFC Thun
LLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchServette
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
38%3
Points from supplied form
62.15
Expected goals
1.55FC ThunServette
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
FC Thun vs Servette FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Thun win 36%，Draw 26%，Servette win 38%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.70 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over。