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CHE Switzerland Super League · Wedstrijd ·

FC Thun vs Servette

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ThunServette
Expected goals3.70Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 26% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dubbele Kans1274.2%1.35
Boven 71% · Onder 29%Goals 2.5Boven71%1.41
Ja 70% · Nee 30%Beide teams scorenJa70%1.43
3.70 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapFC Thun winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Thun win36%2.782.7034.8%+1.2 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Servette win38%2.632.4039.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Thun2.15

Thuis share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.70Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 71% · Onder 29%

Servette1.55

Uit share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nee 30%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Servette

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
2.15
Expected goals
1.55
FC ThunServette
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Thun signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Servette signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Thun vs Servette FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Thun gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 26%,Servette gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · Boven 2.5 71% · Current selection Boven