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CHE Switzerland Super League · Матч ·

ФК Тун vs Серветт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.70 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ФК ТунСерветт
Expected goals3.70Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше71% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 26% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Двойной шанс1274.2%1.35
Больше 71% · Меньше 29%Goals 2.5Больше71%1.41
Да 70% · Нет 30%Обе забьютДа70%1.43
3.70 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapФК Тун winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Тун win36%2.782.7034.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Серветт win38%2.632.4039.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Тун2.15

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.70Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 71% · Меньше 29%

Серветт1.55

Гости share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 70% · Нет 30%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Тун

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Серветт

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
2.15
Expected goals
1.55
ФК ТунСерветт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Тун signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серветт signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ФК Тун vs Серветт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Тун выигрыш 36%,Ничья 26%,Серветт выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · ТБ 2.5 71% · Current selection Больше