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CHE Switzerland Super League · Partita ·

Thun vs Servette

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.70 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite38%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ThunServette
Expected goals3.70Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 26% / 38%Esito partitaVittoria ospite38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Doppia Chance1274.2%1.35
Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%Goals 2.5Sopra71%1.41
Sì 70% · No 30%Entrambe le squadre segnano70%1.43
3.70 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapThun winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Thun win36%2.782.7034.8%+1.2 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Servette win38%2.632.4039.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Thun2.15

Casa share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.70Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%

Servette1.55

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Thun

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Servette

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
2.15
Expected goals
1.55
ThunServette
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Thun signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Servette signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Thun vs Servette FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Thun vinta 36%,Pareggio 26%,Servette vinta 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · Sopra 2.5 71% · Current selection Sopra