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EST Estonia Esiliiga B · Round 24 ·

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–25.02 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw20%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score3–2JK Tammeka Tartu IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals5.02Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over88% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes80% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 20% / 27%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.6%)Double chance1280.4%1.24
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Yes 80% · No 20%Both teams scoreYes80%1.25
5.02 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapJK Tammeka Tartu II winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tammeka Tartu II win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Johvi FC Phoenix win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tammeka Tartu II3.21

Home share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals5.02Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%

Johvi FC Phoenix1.81

Away share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 80% · No 20%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tammeka Tartu II

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
8
3.21
Expected goals
1.81
JK Tammeka Tartu IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tammeka Tartu II signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tammeka Tartu II win 54%,Draw 20%,Johvi FC Phoenix win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.02 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over