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EST Estland - Esiliiga B · Round 24 ·

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–25.02 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg54%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg54% selection probability
Projected score3–2JK Tammeka Tartu IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals5.02Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über88% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa80% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 20% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.6%)Doppelte Chance1280.4%1.24
Über 88% · Unter 12%Goals 2.5Über88%1.14
Ja 80% · Nein 20%Beide Teams treffenJa80%1.25
5.02 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–2
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapJK Tammeka Tartu II winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tammeka Tartu II win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Johvi FC Phoenix win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tammeka Tartu II3.21

Heim share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals5.02Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 88% · Unter 12%

Johvi FC Phoenix1.81

Auswärts share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 80% · Nein 20%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

JK Tammeka Tartu II

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
8
3.21
Expected goals
1.81
JK Tammeka Tartu IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tammeka Tartu II signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tammeka Tartu II Gewinn 54%,Unentschieden 20%,Johvi FC Phoenix Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.02 · Über 2.5 88% · Current selection Über