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EST Estonia - Esiliiga B · Round 24 ·

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–25.02 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa54%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa54% selection probability
Projected score3–2JK Tammeka Tartu IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals5.02Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra88% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano80% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
54% / 20% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.6%)Doppia Chance1280.4%1.24
Sopra 88% · Sotto 12%Goals 2.5Sopra88%1.14
Sì 80% · No 20%Entrambe le squadre segnano80%1.25
5.02 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapJK Tammeka Tartu II winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tammeka Tartu II win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Pareggio20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Johvi FC Phoenix win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tammeka Tartu II3.21

Casa share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals5.02Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 88% · Sotto 12%

Johvi FC Phoenix1.81

Trasferta share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 80% · No 20%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

JK Tammeka Tartu II

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
8
3.21
Expected goals
1.81
JK Tammeka Tartu IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tammeka Tartu II signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tammeka Tartu II vinta 54%,Pareggio 20%,Johvi FC Phoenix vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.02 · Sopra 2.5 88% · Current selection Sopra