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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Fixture ·

MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw29%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1MFK Zemplin MichalovceMFK Skalica
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
MFK Zemplin Michalovce win39%2.56
Draw29%3.45
MFK Skalica win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MFK Zemplin Michalovce1.37

Home share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

MFK Skalica1.15

Away share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MFK Zemplin Michalovce

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.15
MFK Zemplin MichalovceMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MFK Zemplin Michalovce signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MFK Zemplin Michalovce win 39%,Draw 29%,MFK Skalica win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under