Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 20% / 15%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haugesund (W) win (14.7%)Double chance1X85.3%1.17
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
4.30 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFortuna Aalesund (W) winDifference+2.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortuna Aalesund (W) win66%1.521.4063.8%+2.2 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Haugesund (W) win15%6.675.7515.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 77.7%
Total expected goals4.30Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%
Away share of expected goals 22.3%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchFortuna Aalesund (W)
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchHaugesund (W)
DDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
66%
Win probability excluding draw
15%12
Points from supplied form
83.34
Expected goals
0.96Fortuna Aalesund (W)Haugesund (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Haugesund (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 66% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Fortuna Aalesund (W) win 66%，Draw 20%，Haugesund (W) win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.30 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over。