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NOR Norwegen - Toppserien - Frauen · Spiel ·

Fortuna Aalesund (F) vs Haugesund (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.30 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg66%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg15%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg66% selection probability
Projected score3–1Fortuna Aalesund (F)Haugesund (F)
Expected goals4.30Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über80% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
66% / 20% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haugesund (F) win (14.7%)Doppelte Chance1X85.3%1.17
Über 80% · Unter 20%Goals 2.5Über80%1.25
Ja 60% · Nein 40%Beide Teams treffenJa60%1.67
4.30 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFortuna Aalesund (F) winDifference+2.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortuna Aalesund (F) win66%1.521.4063.8%+2.2 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Haugesund (F) win15%6.675.7515.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortuna Aalesund (F)3.34

Heim share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals4.30Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 80% · Unter 20%

Haugesund (F)0.96

Auswärts share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nein 40%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Fortuna Aalesund (F)

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Haugesund (F)

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
8
3.34
Expected goals
0.96
Fortuna Aalesund (F)Haugesund (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortuna Aalesund (F) signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haugesund (F) signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fortuna Aalesund (F) vs Haugesund (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortuna Aalesund (F) Gewinn 66%,Unentschieden 20%,Haugesund (F) Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.30 · Über 2.5 80% · Current selection Über