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Fortuna Aalesund (D) vs Haugesund (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–14.30 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger66%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger66% selection probability
Projected score3–1Fortuna Aalesund (D)Haugesund (D)
Expected goals4.30Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över80% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
66% / 20% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haugesund (D) win (14.7%)Dubbelchans1X85.3%1.17
Över 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Över80%1.25
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
4.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFortuna Aalesund (D) winDifference+2.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortuna Aalesund (D) win66%1.521.4063.8%+2.2 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Haugesund (D) win15%6.675.7515.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortuna Aalesund (D)3.34

Hemma share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals4.30Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 80% · Under 20%

Haugesund (D)0.96

Borta share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Fortuna Aalesund (D)

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Haugesund (D)

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
8
3.34
Expected goals
0.96
Fortuna Aalesund (D)Haugesund (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortuna Aalesund (D) signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haugesund (D) signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fortuna Aalesund (D) vs Haugesund (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortuna Aalesund (D) vunnen 66%,Oavgjort 20%,Haugesund (D) vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.30 · Över 2.5 80% · Current selection Över