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NOR Norvegia - Toppserien femminile · Partita ·

Fortuna Aalesund (F) vs Haugesund (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.30 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa66%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite15%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa66% selection probability
Projected score3–1Fortuna Aalesund (F)Haugesund (F)
Expected goals4.30Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra80% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
66% / 20% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haugesund (F) win (14.7%)Doppia Chance1X85.3%1.17
Sopra 80% · Sotto 20%Goals 2.5Sopra80%1.25
Sì 60% · No 40%Entrambe le squadre segnano60%1.67
4.30 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFortuna Aalesund (F) winDifference+2.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortuna Aalesund (F) win66%1.521.4063.8%+2.2 pp
Pareggio20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Haugesund (F) win15%6.675.7515.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortuna Aalesund (F)3.34

Casa share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals4.30Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 80% · Sotto 20%

Haugesund (F)0.96

Trasferta share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Fortuna Aalesund (F)

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Haugesund (F)

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
8
3.34
Expected goals
0.96
Fortuna Aalesund (F)Haugesund (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortuna Aalesund (F) signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haugesund (F) signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fortuna Aalesund (F) vs Haugesund (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortuna Aalesund (F) vinta 66%,Pareggio 20%,Haugesund (F) vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.30 · Sopra 2.5 80% · Current selection Sopra