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Stabaek (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.27 expected goals
Away form
Home win84%
Draw11%
Away win5%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 84% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win84% selection probability
Projected score3–1Stabaek (W)Bodo/Glimt (W)
Expected goals3.27Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
84% / 11% / 5%Match resultHome win84%1.19
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bodo/Glimt (W) win (5.4%)Double chance1X94.6%1.06
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapBodo/Glimt (W) winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stabaek (W) win84%1.191.1183.6%+0.4 pp
Draw11%9.098.5010.9%+0.1 pp
Bodo/Glimt (W) win5%20.0017.005.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stabaek (W)2.72

Home share of expected goals 83.2%

Total expected goals3.27Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Bodo/Glimt (W)0.55

Away share of expected goals 16.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stabaek (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Bodo/Glimt (W)

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
84%
Win probability excluding draw
5%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.72
Expected goals
0.55
Stabaek (W)Bodo/Glimt (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stabaek (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bodo/Glimt (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk16% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Stabaek (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 84% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stabaek (W) win 84%,Draw 11%,Bodo/Glimt (W) win 5%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over