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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Final ·

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–2Forecast 4–2
Away form
Home win58%
Draw19%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score4–2AftureldingHK Kopavogur
Expected goals6.10Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over94% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes86% for the selected side
Expected corners12.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 19% / 22%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.2%)Double chance1280.8%1.24
Over 94% · Under 6%Goals 2.5Over94%1.06
Yes 86% · No 14%Both teams scoreYes86%1.16
6.10 total expected goalsCorrect score4–2
12.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapHK Kopavogur winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win58%1.721.5757.1%+0.9 pp
Draw19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
HK Kopavogur win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding4.07

Home share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals6.10Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 94% · Under 6%

HK Kopavogur2.03

Away share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitYes 86% · No 14%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

HK Kopavogur

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
9
4.07
Expected goals
2.03
AftureldingHK Kopavogur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HK Kopavogur signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding win 58%,Draw 19%,HK Kopavogur win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 6.10 · Over 2.5 94% · Current selection Over