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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Final ·

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win48%
Draw24%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Throttur ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Expected goals3.26Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 24% / 28%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Double chance1276%1.32
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.26 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapThrottur Reykjavik winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Throttur Reykjavik win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524.1%-0.1 pp
Fylkir Reykjavik win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Throttur Reykjavik1.96

Home share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.26Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Fylkir Reykjavik1.30

Away share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Throttur Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fylkir Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.96
Expected goals
1.30
Throttur ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Throttur Reykjavik signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fylkir Reykjavik signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Throttur Reykjavik win 48%,Draw 24%,Fylkir Reykjavik win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over