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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Final ·

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score3–1Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Throttur ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Expected goals3.26Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 24% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Dubbelchans1276%1.32
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Båda lagen gör målJa63%1.59
3.26 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapThrottur Reykjavik winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Throttur Reykjavik win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7524.1%-0.1 pp
Fylkir Reykjavik win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Throttur Reykjavik1.96

Hemma share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.26Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Fylkir Reykjavik1.30

Borta share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Throttur Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fylkir Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.96
Expected goals
1.30
Throttur ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Throttur Reykjavik signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fylkir Reykjavik signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Throttur Reykjavik vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 24%,Fylkir Reykjavik vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över