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ISL Island - 1. Deild · Final ·

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavík

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–1Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Throttur ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavík
Expected goals3.26Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 24% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Doppelte Chance1276%1.32
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.26 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
11.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapThrottur Reykjavik winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Throttur Reykjavik win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7524.1%-0.1 pp
Fylkir Reykjavík win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Throttur Reykjavik1.96

Heim share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.26Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Fylkir Reykjavík1.30

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Throttur Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fylkir Reykjavík

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.96
Expected goals
1.30
Throttur ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavík
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Throttur Reykjavik signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fylkir Reykjavík signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavík FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Throttur Reykjavik Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 24%,Fylkir Reykjavík Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über