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ISL Island - 1. Deild · Final ·

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score6–1Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leiknir ReykjavikAegir
Expected goals3.15Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 21% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.2%)Doppelte Chance1278.8%1.27
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
3.15 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
11.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapLeiknir Reykjavik winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leiknir Reykjavik win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Aegir win21%4.764.0022.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leiknir Reykjavik2.34

Heim share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.15Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Aegir0.81

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Leiknir Reykjavik

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Aegir

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
3
Points from supplied form
0
2.34
Expected goals
0.81
Leiknir ReykjavikAegir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leiknir Reykjavik signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aegir signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leiknir Reykjavik Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 21%,Aegir Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über