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ISL Island - 1. deild · Final ·

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score6–1Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr58%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leiknir ReykjavikAegir
Expected goals3.15Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
58% / 21% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.2%)Dobbeltchance1278.8%1.27
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Begge hold scorerJa51%1.96
3.15 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapLeiknir Reykjavik winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leiknir Reykjavik win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Uafgjort21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Aegir win21%4.764.0022.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leiknir Reykjavik2.34

Hjemme share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.15Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Aegir0.81

Ude share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Leiknir Reykjavik

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Aegir

0.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Point0

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
3
Points from supplied form
0
2.34
Expected goals
0.81
Leiknir ReykjavikAegir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leiknir Reykjavik signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aegir signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leiknir Reykjavik vundet 58%,Uafgjort 21%,Aegir vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over