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ISL Island - 1. deild · Final ·

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–2Prognose 4–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr58%
Uafgjort19%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr58% selection probability
Projected score4–2AftureldingHK Kopavogur
Expected goals6.10Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over94% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa86% for the selected side
Expected corners12.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
58% / 19% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.2%)Dobbeltchance1280.8%1.24
Over 94% · Under 6%Goals 2.5Over94%1.06
Ja 86% · Nej 14%Begge hold scorerJa86%1.16
6.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–2
12.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapHK Kopavogur winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win58%1.721.5757.1%+0.9 pp
Uafgjort19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
HK Kopavogur win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding4.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals6.10Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 94% · Under 6%

HK Kopavogur2.03

Ude share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitJa 86% · Nej 14%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

HK Kopavogur

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
9
4.07
Expected goals
2.03
AftureldingHK Kopavogur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HK Kopavogur signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 4–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding vundet 58%,Uafgjort 19%,HK Kopavogur vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 6.10 · Over 2.5 94% · Current selection Over