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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Final ·

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–2Voorspelling 4–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score4–2AftureldingHK Kopavogur
Expected goals6.10Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven94% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa86% for the selected side
Expected corners12.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 19% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.2%)Dubbele Kans1280.8%1.24
Boven 94% · Onder 6%Goals 2.5Boven94%1.06
Ja 86% · Nee 14%Beide teams scorenJa86%1.16
6.10 total expected goalsExacte score4–2
12.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapHK Kopavogur winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win58%1.721.5757.1%+0.9 pp
Gelijkspel19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
HK Kopavogur win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding4.07

Thuis share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals6.10Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 94% · Onder 6%

HK Kopavogur2.03

Uit share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitJa 86% · Nee 14%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HK Kopavogur

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
9
4.07
Expected goals
2.03
AftureldingHK Kopavogur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HK Kopavogur signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 4–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 19%,HK Kopavogur gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 6.10 · Boven 2.5 94% · Current selection Boven