Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 28% / 21%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montalegre win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Celoricense win51%1.961.7351.9%—
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%—
Montalegre win21%4.764.5020%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.9%
Total expected goals2.39Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%
Away share of expected goals 38.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchCD Celoricense
WDWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchMontalegre
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
21%8
Points from supplied form
01.48
Expected goals
0.91CD CeloricenseMontalegre
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
CD Celoricense vs Montalegre FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Celoricense win 51%，Draw 28%，Montalegre win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under。