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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partido ·

CD Celoricense vs Montalegre

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante21%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD CeloricenseMontalegre
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 28% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montalegre win (20.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.3%1.26
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Celoricense win51%1.961.7351.9%
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%
Montalegre win21%4.764.5020%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Celoricense1.48

Local share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

Montalegre0.91

Visitante share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Celoricense

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Montalegre

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.48
Expected goals
0.91
CD CeloricenseMontalegre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Celoricense signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montalegre signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Celoricense vs Montalegre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Celoricense ganada 51%,Empate 28%,Montalegre ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de