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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

CD Celoricense vs Montalegre

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger51%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger21%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger51% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD CeloricenseMontalegre
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
51% / 28% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montalegre win (20.7%)Dubbelchans1X79.3%1.26
Över 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Celoricense win51%1.961.7351.9%
Oavgjort28%3.573.2028.1%
Montalegre win21%4.764.5020%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Celoricense1.48

Hemma share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 43% · Under 57%

Montalegre0.91

Borta share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CD Celoricense

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Montalegre

0.00pts / match
Spelade0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Poäng0

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.48
Expected goals
0.91
CD CeloricenseMontalegre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Celoricense signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montalegre signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Celoricense vs Montalegre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Celoricense vunnen 51%,Oavgjort 28%,Montalegre vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Över 2.5 43% · Current selection Under